Venture capital: Series B diligence
The startup whose accuracy claims nobody had checked
Lantern Ventures (fictional), a venture fund reviewing a Series B round in ClaimPath AI (fictional), which automates insurance claims decisions, alongside six existing holdings.
Open this portfolio in the demoThe situation
ClaimPath’s pitch rested on a headline accuracy figure and fast growth. The partners wanted to know where the company’s AI value and risk really sat, and how the deal compared with the rest of their AI portfolio.
What the matrix showed
- ClaimPath sat in Automate, finely balanced between value and risk, and was flagged as volume outrunning expert review: claims decisions that need judgment were only spot-checked.
- Its accuracy claim had not been independently verified, it depended on a single AI vendor, and its margin was exposed if AI costs doubled.
- Across the fund, five of seven holdings depended on a single AI vendor, and five had unverified AI claims.
- The holdings leaned toward machine scale, between Automate and Authorize, only partly aligned with external pressure toward risk carried.
What the investor did next
- Asked for an independent audit of ClaimPath’s accuracy claims before completing its own investment process.
- Reviewed the AI vendor contract, including pricing terms and change-of-control clauses, and modelled gross margin with AI costs doubled.
- Prioritized verification for the health and hiring holdings, where AI decisions carry regulatory risk.
- Added the six investor questions to the fund’s standard diligence checklist.